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April 29, 2024

Chart USD/CHF Update: Leaning lower in range trade - daily studies under pressure
Freemium Article

April 29, 2024 7:51 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend consolidation at current 2024 year highs

Chart EUR/GBP Update: Reached 0.8547/50 - daily studies leaning lower
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April 29, 2024 7:42 AM UTC

Anticipated losses have reached support at 0.8547/50

Chart EUR/AUD Update: Extending losses
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April 29, 2024 7:37 AM UTC

Break of the 1.6365/50 support extending losses from the 1.6745 March YTD high

Chart EUR/USD Update: Choppy in range - room for a test above 1.0750
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April 29, 2024 7:31 AM UTC

The test below congestion support at 1.0700 has bounced from above 1.0650

Chart AUD/NZD Update: Extending gains, scope to retest 1.1050/85 highs
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April 29, 2024 7:22 AM UTC

 Breaking higher through the 1.0980 resistance to extend the strong gains from the 1.0570 low of February

Chart GBP/USD Update: Balanced at 1.2500/18 - 1.2530 - daily studies remain positive
Freemium Article

April 29, 2024 7:19 AM UTC

Still little change

Chart GBP/JPY Update: Scope for deeper pullback from 200.54 high
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April 29, 2024 6:55 AM UTC

Saw break above the 198.00 level to reach the 200.00 figure before reversing from the 200.54 high

JPY flows: BoJ intervention triggers sharp reversal
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April 29, 2024 6:51 AM UTC

Reported BoJ intervention has triggered a 5 figure drop in USD/JPY in late Asia trade. The upside now looks capped near term, and there is scope for a huge decline, but lower US yields look necessary to trigger it.

Chart AUD/JPY Update: Sharp pullback to unwind overbought daily studies
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April 29, 2024 6:28 AM UTC

Saw sharp spike to reach 104.95 high before reversing just shy of the 105.40, 2013 year high

Chart USD/INR Update: Higher in consolidation, gains seen limited
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April 29, 2024 5:53 AM UTC

 Extending bounce from the 83.2650 low of last week as prices consolidate pullback from the 83.5750 high

Chart EUR/JPY Update: Sharp pullback from 171.59 spike high
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April 29, 2024 5:39 AM UTC

Break above the 170.00 level saw spike to 171.59 high before reversing back under the 170.00 level

Chart USD/JPY Update: Sharp reversal from 160.20 high
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April 29, 2024 5:06 AM UTC

Sharply higher to reach towards the 1990 multi-year highs at 160.25/160.40 before reversing from the 160.20 intraday high

Asia Summary and Highlights 29 Apr
Freemium Article

April 29, 2024 4:56 AM UTC

USD/JPY jumped two big figures after opening lower
Buyers taking advantage of Japanese holiday and lack of signal for intervention
And faced the intervention train immediately

USD/JPY flows: BoJ Back in the office
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April 29, 2024 4:52 AM UTC

USD/JPY slumped from 159.60 to 155.9 currently
Looks like intervention

FX Weekly Strategy: Europe, April 29th - May 3rd
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April 29, 2024 4:38 AM UTC

Focus on FOMC and US employment report
Scope for USD strength on strong US labour market data
JPY weakness is extreme but hard to buck the current correlations without intervention
NOK also looks too weak

AUD/USD flows: Boosted by Chinese property Sector Relieves
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April 29, 2024 4:09 AM UTC

Chengdu, in southwest China, has removed home-buying curbs

Chart USD/CNH Update: Extending consolidation below 7.2740 high, room for deeper pullback
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April 29, 2024 4:07 AM UTC

Remains in consolidation below the 7.2740 high 

Chart USD/THB Update: Consolidating below 37.18/37.24 highs
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April 29, 2024 3:56 AM UTC

 Little change, as prices settled into consolidation around the 37.00 level from the 37.18 high

Chart USD/KRW Update: Consolidating above 1371.00/1368.00 lows
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April 29, 2024 3:48 AM UTC

Higher in consolidation above the 1371.00/1368.00 support and congestion area but upside seen limited

USD/JPY flows:Longs taking advantage of Japan holiday
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April 29, 2024 2:43 AM UTC

USD/JPY jumped two big figures after opening lower
Buyers taking advantage of Japanese holiday and lack of signal for intervention

Chart USD/IDR Updates: Extending consolidation below 16284 high
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April 29, 2024 2:36 AM UTC

Higher to extend bounce from the 16139 low as prices consolidate losses from the 16284 high

Chart USD/SGD Update: Extending consolidation, room for deeper pullback later
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April 29, 2024 2:26 AM UTC

No follow-through on break of the 1.3600 level with bounce from the 1.3578 support further extend consolidation below the 1.3670 high

Chart GBP/USD Update: Consolidating, room for further gains later
Paying Article

April 29, 2024 2:06 AM UTC

Settled into consolidation from the 1.2518/40 resistance as prices unwind the overbought intraday and daily studies

Chart EUR/USD Update: Consolidating at the 1.0700 level
Paying Article

April 29, 2024 1:50 AM UTC

Settled back from the 1.0750 congestion to consolidate at the 1.0700 level as prices unwind overbought intraday studies

Chart EUR/JPY Update: Extending gains
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April 29, 2024 1:34 AM UTC

Keeping pressure on the upside to extend sharp rally last week following break of the 165.00/165.35 resistance

Chart USD/JPY Update: Consolidating below 158.44 high, scope for higher
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April 29, 2024 1:07 AM UTC

Reached fresh high at 158.44 following break of the 155.80 resistance

Chart NZD/USD Update: Consolidating, still room to extend gains
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April 29, 2024 12:21 AM UTC

  Remains in consolidation below the .5950 congestion area 

Chart AUD/USD Update: Still firm, room for higher
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April 29, 2024 12:06 AM UTC

Consolidating below the .6550 congestion but the bullish run-up from the .6362 low suggest scope for break

Asia Open - Overnight Highlights
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April 29, 2024 12:00 AM UTC

EMERGING ASIA
EM currencies perform mostly individually against the USD as the greenback volatility revolves mostly around the JPY. SGD saw the largest losses of 0.28%, followed by CNH 0.18%, IDR 0.14%, CNY 0.09%, KRW 0.04%, INR 0.03% and HKD 0.01%; while the biggest winner is PHP by 0.19%, MYR 0.17%

April 28, 2024

FX Weekly Strategy: Asia, April 29th - May 3rd
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April 28, 2024 9:00 PM UTC

Focus on FOMC and US employment report
Scope for USD strength on strong US labour market data
JPY weakness is extreme but hard to buck the current correlations
NOK also looks too weak

FX Weekly Strategy: APAC, April 29th - May 3rd
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April 28, 2024 5:00 PM UTC

Focus on FOMC and US employment report
Scope for USD strength on strong US labour market data
JPY weakness is extreme but hard to buck the current correlations
NOK also looks too weak

April 26, 2024

North American Summary and Highlights 26 Apr
Freemium Article

April 26, 2024 6:42 PM UTC

Overview - The USD was stronger, though USD/JPY led the way, with the USD moving off its highs elsewhere to see only modest gains.  

U.S. March Trimmed Mean PCE Price Index Slower at 2.9% Annualized
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April 26, 2024 3:32 PM UTC

While March’s 0.3% Core PCE Price Index was a little firmer before rounding, and stronger than February data that was rounded up to 0.3%, the Dallas Fed’s Trimmed Mean PCE Price Index slowed to a 2.9% annualized pace from 3.4% in February.

Chart USD/CAD Update: Choppy trade under pressure
Freemium Article

April 26, 2024 3:17 PM UTC

Cautious trade has given way to a fresh drift down to 1.3635

FX Weekly Strategy: April 29th - May 3rd
Paying Article

April 26, 2024 3:15 PM UTC

Focus on FOMC and US employment report
Scope for USD strength on strong US labour market data
JPY weakness is extreme but hard to buck the current correlations
NOK also looks too weak

Chart AUD/USD Update: Room for higher
Paying Article

April 26, 2024 2:05 PM UTC

Cautious trade has given way to the anticipated break higher

Chart EUR/JPY Update: Fresh highs, but daily stochastics overstretched
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April 26, 2024 1:55 PM UTC

Cautious trade has given way to a sharp JPY-driven break higher to 168.3

Chart USD/JPY Update: Sharp break higher in JPY-driven trade
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April 26, 2024 1:39 PM UTC

Cautious trade has given way to a fresh break higher in JPY-driven trade

...
Brazil: Credit Decelerating Amid Tighter Conditions
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April 26, 2024 1:21 PM UTC

Despite the BCB's initiation of the cutting cycle, credit is anticipated to decelerate due to monetary policy lags. Enterprises face the most significant impact, with nominal growth dropping to 4.1% in February from 12.1% a year prior. While household credit growth slows to 10.4% annually from 17%,

...
CBR Kept the Key Rate Stable at 16%
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April 26, 2024 1:12 PM UTC

Bottom Line: As widely expected, Central Bank of Russia (CBR) announced on April 26 that it decided to keep the policy rate unchanged at 16% for the third meeting in a row. CBR made critical changes in its key rate and inflation forecasts as it lifted its 2024 inflation forecast to 4.3-4.8% from 4-4

USD flows: Mild relief after PCE
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April 26, 2024 1:10 PM UTC

Not much FX reaction to PCE data

Chart USD/RUB Update: Leaning lower
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April 26, 2024 12:05 PM UTC

Little change, as prices extend pressure on congestion support at 92.0000

Chart EUR/PLN Update: Consolidating - background studies rising
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April 26, 2024 11:45 AM UTC

Little change, as choppy trade gives way to consolidation beneath resistance at 4.3300

European Summary and Highlights 26 Apr
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April 26, 2024 10:56 AM UTC

USD/JPY initially edged higher in the European morning, following the trend seen in Asia after the BoJ meeting. 

Chart USD/ZAR Update: Consolidating - daily studies under pressure
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April 26, 2024 10:32 AM UTC

Little change, as mixed intraday studies keep near-term sentiment cautious

Chart EUR/CAD Update: Consolidating - limited tests higher
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April 26, 2024 10:20 AM UTC

Little change, as mixed/negative intraday studies keep near-term sentiment cautious

Psychology for major markets Apr 26
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April 26, 2024 10:18 AM UTC

EUR and riskier currencies better bid, JPY at new 34 year lows